TSU-NAMO 2.0: Modi Scripts Electoral Magic

By SM.23 May, 2019





In 2014, a Narendra Modi wave had swept the whole of North India to propel the BJP to power at the Centre. The BJP had become the first party in 30 years to win a single-party majority in a Lok Sabha election. The last time was Rajiv Gandhi’s overwhelming victory in 1984 Lok Sabha election with the Congress winning 415 seats. 

The 2019 Lok Sabha election shows that Narendra Modi retains his magic in polls despite the Opposition’s strong charge against the his government on the issues of unemployment, farm crisis and critical indicators of Indian economy.

The BJP is all set to return to power with a bigger majority in the Lok Sabha. The party has got more than 41 per cent of total votes polled in the just-concluded Lok Sabha election.

This means that the Modi wave has boosted the voting percentage of the BJP by over 10 percent. The party had polled 31 percent of the popular votes in 2014 to win 282 seats in the Lok Sabha.

Narendra Modi is also the first prime minister to return to power winning a bigger vote share for the party enjoying full single-party majority in the Lok Sabha since Jawaharlal Nehru’s victory in 1957 Lok Sabha election. Back then, Nehru’s Congress improved its vote share by 2.79 percentage points over 1951-52 polls.

As per the latest trend, the BJP is likely to win around 300 seats in the Lok Sabha this time around getting better of anti-incumbency if there was any as the Opposition projected.

This is the first time in the electoral history of the country that a party has been voted back to power with full majority and a double digit gain in voting percentage over the last Lok Sabha election’s popular mandate.

For a returning government, the previous best was the Indira Gandhi dispensation that won 1971 Lok Sabha election with an increase in voting percentage by 2.9 percentage point from 40.78 percent to 43.68 percent in 1971.

But back then, Indira Gandhi had split the Congress going into the Lok Sabha election and named her party as Congress (R). Secondly, she was not the prime minister for the full term in the previous government. Indira Gandhi had become the prime minister after the death of Lal Bahadur Shastri.

The Modi government is also the first one since Nehru’s to return to power at the Centre with a single party winning full majority for both the terms.